Wednesday, September 2, 2015

FFL Wrap-Up: Preseason Week 4 Edition.

Hello, and welcome to the FFL wrap-up, a weekly write up I'll be doing primarily for the F is for Friends, Family & Friends League members but should be written so that anyone on the outside looking in can follow along.

If you haven't seen if yet you can find the FFL Draft Recap here. Following the draft the FFL placed all remaining players on waivers until September 2nd, which if you hadn't been paying attention to dates is today!

Waiver strategy, and the way managers develop their roster through them over the course of the season is an important part to some manager's "game" maybe more important than drafting. Some managers might be average drafters but are great at working the waivers, others could be operating a streaming strategy (more on this later), and then there are those who rely on their drafting and only look to the waivers when they have ugly bye week or injury situations that their depth can't handle.

For those of you who might not be the most familiar with waivers, it's a system of ordering claims for a manager's right to add a player to their roster. The ordering starts in reverse order of draft position. This meant that for FFL's initial waiver priority Optimal was first and we worked backwards from their until we reached Team 1 who had waiver priority 12. When a team excercises it's right to add someone from the waivers, it is placed on the back of the waiver priority. When putting in a claim for someone on waivers, you exercise your waiver priority even if no one else claims said player against your claim as long as the player is added to your roster. What does this mean? It means that you really don't want to claim someone off waivers that you don't have to, and that if you want someone on waivers but you don't think you'll get them because of your low priority there is no reason not to put a claim in.

This brings us to the current point of emphasis for Today's wrap-up, the initial waiver moves of FFL. It should be noted that FFL drafted the night of August 30th, which makes our first move all the more interesting.

August 31: ~7 am. Maggie's Maineiacs drops Tim Tebow (QB) PHI

What! The pick that received so much praise, dropped less than 12 hours after the draft. It should be noted that while Tim Tebow was a late round flyer, that's not to say the pick held no value. Players such as Philip Rivers, Donald Brown, Michael Floyd, Pierre Garcon, Michael Crabtree, Terrance Williams, and David Cobb had yet to be taken! I wonder what prize Maggie has their eye on.

September 1: ~12pm. Maggie's Maineiacs drops Montee Ball (RB) DEN
The last two picks of Maggie's team were not long for that roster, preemptive drops often mean that a manager has eyes on a number of players they'd be comfortable rostering  that are currently on waivers. By having open roster spots they're not forced to tie additions to specific player drops.

Waivers

September 2: ~3:30am. Agreeable (Bloodriders) drops Tyler Eifert (TE) CIN adds Heath Miller (TE) PIT

Interesting choice of waiver moves by Bloodriders, they selected Eifert in the 8th who saw a rise in his draft price as the hype continued to build. I rated that pick highly, but they've already moved on from that selection to add a TE who went undrafted. Let that be a lesson for those of you selecting TEs later in the draft! There'll be someone on the waivers whose just as good week to week. Eifert now becomes an interesting roster addition for teams who were not happy with their own TE situation.

September 2: ~3:30am. Maggie's Maineiacs adds Alfred Blue (RB) HOU
If you want to take the time to look back at Maggie's draft you'll see that they selected only two running backs in the top 12 rounds. 2! Of those two, one of them (Spiller) is currently injured and has sent Maggie scrambling to the waivers in search of not only a bit more depth, but someone worth starting week 1. They've found that in Alfred Blue who should see great use while he fills in for Foster.

September 2: ~3:30am. Walter White Walkers drops James Starks (RB) GB adds DeAngelo Williams (RB) PIT

Walter is a lucky man, lucky that he doesn't play in a cut throat league. Walter being the second year fantasy player that he is, missed out on the opportunity to handcuff his own first round RB who is already missing two weeks when the draft took place. Instead taking James Starks in the 12th round the last round Walter drafted positional players. While we might guess that he had a claim out for Blue, a player who projects to see a lot more use over the opening weeks than Williams, he at least lands his own handcuff in D. Williams.

September 2: ~3:30am. Team 1 (Antarctica Penguins) drops Ryan Fitzpatrick (QB) NYJ adds Kenny Stills (WR) MIA

So Team 1 moves on from their snub at Geno and adds some WR depth in a flyer on Kenny Stills someone who should see a good deal of work in MIA offense, at least until Parker returns from his injury.

September 2: ~3:30am Agreeable (Bloodriders) drops New York Jets (DEF) adds San Francisco 49ers (DEF)

Agreeable was having a good bit of fun at the draft but by the time the late rounds had come around their tablet had run out of power and with it their rankings and cheat sheets. While there might be inexperience in the league there's no lacking of cut throat, so it didn't seem like there was a willingness to share. I imagine Agreeable had the 49ers defense ranked their on their own sheets than they did the Jets, so the made the move on the waivers, but I'd say the Jets are the better season defense and they're now out there for the taking.

September 2: ~3:30am Maggie adds Damien Williams (RB) MIA

I had previously scanned the waiver wire for players I thought worthy of a claim and while there was some value, I decided there wasn't anyone at the time worth sacrificing waiver position. This decision only netted me a gain of one in priority (thanks to Agreeable's activity) and I lost out on no one of real consequence (two hand-cuffs) and then Damien Williams whose value is only suspect if you believe the rumors that Miami isn't happy with Lamar Miller. As I mentioned above Maggie is trying to put together some RB depth having only 2 on the roster after their pre-waiver drops. Well they've managed to add Blue who will fill in for their injured Spiller, and then hope that Damien might add some value for him as the season progresses.

September 2: ~3:30am Walter drops Percy Harvin (WR) BUF adds Eddie Royal (WR) CHI

By all accounts in a 12 team PPR league Royal should have found a roster around the 10th round when guys like Decker, M. Bryant, Funchess, and White were going, and certainly have found one in the 13th when T. Williams, M. Crabtree, P. Garcon, and M. Floyd went. So perhaps better late than never. Royal was a big reason why Malcom Floyd failed to have value last season as he pilfered targets game after game. Now he reunites with Cutler who he had a great season, just in time for K. White to possibly be missing the entire season.

Post Waivers

Since the opening waivers have closed, we've seen two additional moves.

Septermber 2: ~10am Fashion drops Jay Ajayi (RB) MIA adds Andre Williams (RB) NYG

Whether Fashion was holding onto waiver priority, or missed out on the initial salvo at left over running backs, she made a move for the expected soon to be starting running back for the NYGs by picking up Andre Williams.

September 2: ~1pm Nelson drops RGIII (QB) WAS adds Joe Flacco (QB) BAL

Not a surprising move, Nelson saves their waiver priority but moves on from their flyer on RGIII whose already been injured and relegated as the back-up. Instead picking up Joe Flacco who finished last season as the #12 fantasy QB in standard formats.


So an early picture of the league and it's managers starts to take shape. We can learn a bit about whose an active mover and who are more patient, which teams are fishing to fill perceived holes and which are sitting on their rosters. While there has already been some trade talks instigated, there has of this posts writing yet to be any trades made or, to my knowledge, offered.

We're still a little more than a week away from our first weeks match-ups, but already teams are positioning for a fast start. 

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