Thursday, August 27, 2015

GGerrik's Top 150: PPR Draft Rankings

As a note these draft rankings as with most draft rankings are more than just a ranking of projected points scored for the 2015 season. Other factors will contribute to these rankings such as position scarcity, injury concerns, draft value, opportunity upside, and personal concerns. You could and should look at these as the order I would draft players, without taking into account who I'd already drafted. So without further adieu here are my top 200 PPR rankings.



  1. Adrian Peterson -- Season low average carries a game is 17, in his rookie season
  2. Eddie Lacy -- No Nelson likely means more Lacy
  3. Jamaal Charles -- Consistent back and Smith likes to check down.
  4. Antonio Brown -- Good chance to lead league in targets
  5. Julio Jones -- Hearing good things about this new offense and Julio's targets
  6. Robert Gronkowski -- No other TE will be targets as much, highest floor and ceiling.
  7. Marshawn Lynch -- Ceiling not as high, Graham a risk to Redzone opportunities. 
  8. Demaryius Thomas -- Departure of Julius may mean the emphasis on running game not as detrimental
  9. Dez Bryant -- May be relied on more if running game takes a step down.
  10. Le'Veon Bell -- I'd rather not be missing two weeks from my first round pick, if he makes it this far I'd take him.
  11. Randall Cobb -- No Nelson may hurt Cobb's production, but he'll see more targets now, watch.
  12. C.J. Anderson -- Anderson's second half of 2014 was amazing. I'm happy with him being next drafted back.
  13. Odell Beckham Jr. -- His targets were absurd during the final 4 games of 2014, a healthy Cruz may eat into that.
  14. A.J. Green -- Healthy and in a Contract Year, will likely compete for WR1, but emphasis on run may hurt him
  15. Calvin Johnson Jr.-- Age and Injury concerns have Megatron dropping, I like his value here.
  16. Justin Foresett -- Last season Marc Trestman's RB caught 102 balls on 130 targets.
  17. Jeremy Hill -- Exploded onto the season last year, but Gio will be taking away PPR points.
  18. Matt Forte -- Lost Marc Trestman, as well as turning 30 and being on a poor defense team. He's still Forte.
  19. Alshon Jeffery -- No Marshall means Jeffery takes the WR1 and it's targets, but he'll be the sole focus of D's now.
  20. LeSean McCoy -- I just don't like McCoy's situation, but he'll receive plenty of opportunities. 
  21. Brandon Cooks -- Targets galore, and his Route Tree has been expanded to include deeper routes.
  22. T.Y. HIilton -- Johnson might be able to pilfer more targets than Wayne did last season. Still a great option.
  23. Mike Evans -- Evans may be WR1 in all but name going into this season, Winston should help offense.
  24. DeMarco Murray -- New Situation, he's here because of the plethora of RBs and the Wild Card of Chip's Hurry Up.
  25. Emmanuel Sanders -- Should see plenty of targets and is a great value at the end of the 2nd or early in the third.
  26. Lamar Miller -- I like Miller, but the current hype for Ajayi means I'm not willing to rank him too much higher,
  27. Mark Ingram -- Ingram had an amazing season in 2014 when healthy, but he'll lose PPR points to Spiller.
  28. DeAndre Hopkins -- He's the big man in HOU this year, hopefully that will help his Boom or Bust even out.
  29. Latavius Murray -- Was good in flashes last season, hopefully Carr and Co. will be able to keep defenses honest.
  30. Julian Edelman -- Even without Brady Julian will still eclipse 100 reception if he's able to remain healthy
  31. Keenan Allen -- Going far to low in most of my Mock Drafts, He's the #1 in a good offense. His value is great.
  32. Andre Johnson -- Johnson will be surrounded by his best supporting cast of his career, but he is the #2 WR.
  33. Frank Gore -- What I said for Johnson applies to Gore as well, except it's the run game being second to the pass.
  34. Andre Ellington -- Ellington just can't stay healthy, he was ineffectual last season, but there's hope for a rebound. 
  35. Carlos Hyde -- I'm not big on Hyde, I could see myself passing if I don't NEED an RB. Team could struggle.
  36. Jordan Matthews -- Matthews will have a good chance for 100+ receptions in Kelly's Offense, I like his value.
  37. Andrew Luck -- I'm against taking a QB in the first 3 rounds, so I'd pass on these next two until the fourth.
  38. Aaron Rodgers -- Which means I have yet to draft either, but if they were there, I would draft them now.
  39. Jimmy Graham -- Sure he moves from NO to SEA, but that worked for Gates and Gonzalez!
  40. Allen Robinson -- He's underrated at the moment so I've been taking him later, but he will have 140 targets.
  41. Amari Cooper -- All signs point to Cooper continuing the trend of rookie WRs making fantasy impacts.
  42. Jonathan Stewart -- If it wasn't for injury concerns I'd take Stewart in the first round. That schedule is amazing!
  43. Greg Olson -- No Benjamin, means unless Funchess is ready to start the season Olson is the #1 option, 100 targets
  44. Jarvis Landry -- Great value here, he's another Julian Edelman but going a full round (or two!) later in drafts.
  45. Alfred Moris -- The lack of work in the passing game hurts him in PPR, not to mention his team is awful.
  46. Jeremy Maclin -- I don't like the move for him, but I do like Maclin. I'd take him here but I'd want other options.
  47. Davanate Adams -- No Nelson moves Adams up, it's still unsure what his role will be, but has WR1 upside.
  48. Golden Tate -- His targets and numbers with a healthy Megatron were disappointing last season. 
  49. Travis Kelce -- Lots of hype, but there might not be the target volume for him as there are others.
  50. Joseph Randle -- If Murray was the product of his line, Randle will have a great season and value here. 
  51. Brandon Marshall -- He's the #1 in a poor offense, but he's also the best receiver that offense has had in a decade.
  52. Vincent Jackson -- May slip to the #2 on his team, but last season he lead them in targets, just didn't nab the TDs.
  53. Ameer Abdullah -- He's the Lions RB I want to own, expecially in PPR formats. Great Upside. 
  54. Rusell Wilson -- This is the end of a few tiers for me. After Abdullah I'm comfortable with taking Wilson.
  55. C.J. Spiller -- Payton like's to have a receiving back, and that back sees a lot of action. PPR only pick.
  56. Melvin Gordon -- While being the lead back in SD, will be coming off the field on passing downs.
  57. Giovani Bernard -- Gio will likely see more work than many expect, and he's the favored passing back. 
  58. Todd Gurley -- He'll have a great opportunity for a run first team with a stout defense. No real competition in STL
  59. Ben Roethlisberger -- I like the value Ben offers in the fifth round, I think he QB's the #1 offense this year.
  60. Eric Decker -- I'm not a big Decker fan, I should probably drop him lower, but I can't see my self drafting him.
  61. Sammy Watkins -- Similar to McCoy, except his opportunity is smaller. 
  62. Martellus Bennet -- He should easily eclipse 100 targets, and may see more RZ targets with Marshall out of town.
  63. T.J. Yeldon -- I just don't like JAX RBs, We all remember Gerhart right? That defense situation is also ugly.
  64. Marques Colston -- He's falling too far, but is great value here. He should see over 9 targets a game.
  65. Nelson Agholor -- The true inheritor of the Maclin/DeSean role in the C. Kelly offense. The Maclin of 2015.
  66. Arian Foster -- I like Foster's value in the 6th round. By here I'm drafting for upside, his is great!
  67. Drew Brees -- Lost some options and the team might be leaning on the run a bit more. Still 5K Drew Brees.
  68. Anquan Bolden -- He's not an exciting player, but he's had consistent career and WR2 value.
  69. John Brown -- He's an exciting player, with upside, his rising draft position will raise the risk in drafting him
  70. Steve Smith Sr. -- Received 133 targets last season,  that's great opportunity for a team that lost it's #1
  71. Peyton Manning -- DEN want's to lean on the run more, but someone has to throw to Thomas and Sanders.
  72. Chris Ivory -- Good value pick, current word is Ivory will be in on passing downs. PPR +
  73. Michael Floyd -- Michael Floyd currently has some broken fingers, I dislike hand injuries on receivers. 
  74. DeSean Jackson -- Boom or bust player, with a circus of a QB situation. Still he'll win you weeks on his own.
  75. Martavis Bryant -- I've clumped him right behind Jackson since he's essentially Jackson on less targets per a game
  76. Pierre Garcon -- In 2013 he saw 184 targets for 113 receptions. 2014 D. Thomas saw 184 targets for 11 receptions.
  77. Joique Bell -- Bell has produced when healthy, he's even saw work in the passing game. I'd still rather have Ameer
  78. Danny Woodhead -- Woodhead is a PPR machine, this is probably too low for him. I like him more than Melvin
  79. Tony Romo -- DAL will end up passing more this season, Murray wasn't just an average Joe.
  80. LeGarrette Blount -- Great value  it is hard to trust Belichick with RBs, but he's been consistent with Blount
  81. Charles Johnson -- The best receiving option out of MIN, not saying much. Though APs return should help.
  82. Jason Witten -- Witten's targets have declined over the last two seasons, but he's good value if he's here.
  83. Roddy White -- Hasn't played a full season since 2012, but his value here is absurd. If healthy 8+ targets a week.
  84. Larry Fitzgerald -- 2 possibilities, last season was a fluke, or he's on the decline. Either way good value here. 
  85. Shane Vereen -- All signs point to Vereen being a PPR monster, but we can't be sure of his role with the NYG. 
  86. Victor Cruz -- I like Cruz a lot but he is a risk. He's going late and this is an area where his upside > risk.
  87. Devin Funchess -- Kelvin Benjamin saw 146 targets despite having an abysmal 50% catch rate. I'm buying. 
  88. Kevin White -- White's value is in flux, and he's the rookie I see struggling the most in their first season.
  89. Matt Ryan -- If Brady is missing 4 games, I like Ryan more.
  90. Julius Thomas -- If Bortles does progress, I could see Julius Thomas having top 3 TE value. I'm not betting on it
  91. Tom Brady -- Missing 4 games hurts him a lot, however once he's back you know you're getting Angry Brady
  92. Dorial Green-Beckham -- I think he's the best bet for a TEN WR producing, that said I don't like this run of WRs.
  93. Tevin Coleman -- Probably the players I'm picking in this area of the draft. He'll eventually win that starting spot.
  94. Torrey Smith -- A 9 Route receiver whose moved to a team with a wildly inaccurate QB. Poor Mans D. Jackson
  95. Kendall Wright -- He's the receiver you probably should own in TEN, but I don't like upside as much. 
  96. Breshad Perriman -- Being used to replace T. Smith, will be heavily overshadowed by S. Smith Sr. rookie year.
  97. Cam Newton -- Injury to Benjamin hurts his value, but he's in the same spot as last year but healthy. Upside?!
  98. Jordan Cameron -- Cameron is playing with the best QB of his career this season, Clay saw 100+ targets in 2013
  99. Ryan Tannehill -- Argument to be made he's surrounded with the most talent in his career, hope to see progress.
  100. Owen Daniels -- Daniels! Old but not forgotten playing with Peyton who loves to throw to his TEs. 
  101. Eli Manning -- Manning is going is being severely undervalued. He went off with OBJ last season, now has Cruz
  102. Zack Ertz -- There's a lot of hype around Ertz but Kelly just hasn't been utilizing him. He rarely makes it this far.
  103. Delanie Walker -- Much better upside from Walker at this point, people seem to have forgotten about the guy!
  104. Ryan Matthews - C. Kelly's offense means plenty of opportunities all around. He'll likely poach TDs and Recs. 
  105. Darren Sproles -- PPR power house, this is FAR TO LOW for Sproles, but I fear the Matthews influence.
  106. Terrance Williams -- Hands of stone and is practically invisible opposite Dez, Only saw 64 targets last year
  107. Devonta Freeman -- The RB that's currently heading ATLs backfield. Chance he keeps his job.
  108. David Cobb -- Sankey looked awful last season, and Cobb has looked like a Cow Bell back.
  109. Duke Johnson -- Will likely see 3rd down work even if he doesn't steal the starting job at the start of the season.
  110. Stevie Johnson -- Before his forgettable last season Johnson was a commodity now in receiver friendly SD. 
  111. Isaiah Crowell -- Starting CLE RB has to be worth something right? I'd rather own Johnson. 
  112. Philip Rivers -- Rivers being available here is half the reason I never seem to draft a QB.
  113. Eddie Royal -- There's a good chance Royal produces better in a PPR setting then White does this season.
  114. Malcom Floyd -- His draft position has bottomed out. He's a steal this late in the draft, but there's no WR1 here.
  115. Cody Latimer -- There are going to be targets available, and the Broncos run 3 WR sets a lot. 
  116. Darren McFadden -- McFadden could surprise everyone and be successful being that DAL OLine.
  117. Allen Hurns -- Boom or Bust player, if offense does improve could smooth out his value.
  118. Michael Crabtree -- Is Carr better than Kaep? That's essentially what you're banking on. He's going late regardless 
  119. Brandon LaFell -- Brady being out 4 games hurts LaFell the most out of all the receivers. As does Wayne.
  120. Percy Harvin -- I don't think I'll ever draft Harvin, but he fits this tier of WRs in my mind. Limited upside. 
  121. David Johnson -- Another rookie being touted as a sleeper. Ellington has looked bad however.
  122. Ronnie Hillman -- Lots of talk about Kubiak's 1 back system is keeping Hillman down, but who knows in DEN?
  123. Doug Martin -- The first TB back off the board, maybe Winston's presence helps the run game out.
  124. Jeff Janis -- No Nelson means the offense has a new Devante Adams. Or perhaps Janis ends up in the Nelson role.
  125. Marvin Jones -- Missed all of last season so he's being drafted like he's not a factor, however 2013 he saw 80 tgts
  126. Sam Bradford -- Health is the largest concern, but this Philly Offense GOES. He's also great to pair with Brady,
  127. Tyler Eifert -- Lots of hype around Eifert, but can he live up to it? 
  128. Kyle Rudolph -- This is what Eifert will likely become. 
  129. Dwayne Bowe -- Bowe is confident in the CLE Offense, I won't be until I see more out of Johnny. He is WR1 tho
  130. Cole Beasely -- He didn't drop a single catch-able pass. Considering Terrance Williams is in front of him... 
  131. Austin Seferian-Jenkins -- There is growing hype here, OC has track record of making start TEs. 
  132. Carson Palmer -- Palmer is an older version of Bradford, but he was playing well last year before the injury.
  133. Andre Williams -- We all know Jennings isn't going to stay healthy. 
  134. Doug Baldwin -- J. Graham is going to steal what few targets there were to be had in SEA. Is a WR1 though. 
  135. Heath Miller -- He's been consistent, and has done it before. There are worse TE Options. 
  136. Roy Helu -- PPR value, we'll have to see how the OAK backfield shakes out, but Helu will likely have great value.
  137. Cameron Artis-Payne -- We know Stewart isn't going to stay healthy, and their schedule is juicy. Hand-Cuff?
  138. Charles Sims -- Doug Martin has looked awful, so there's a chance Sims takes over before too long. 
  139. Tre Mason -- If Gurley isn't healthy at the start of the season, maybe Mason can do enough to keep his job?
  140. Reggie Wayne -- The Pats have a history of allowing their players to achieve their contract's incentives.
  141. Ruben Randle -- Sure he cant catch, but he saw 127 targets anyways. If Cruz is done, Rueben will see just as many
  142. Antonio Gates -- He's missing four games, and you typically don't want to roster a second TE, but Gates produces.
  143. Jay Ajayi -- This is the time of year where almost every rookie is being hyped. Word is Ajayi might bump Miller
  144. Fred Jackson -- Fred! He's always been involved when healthy, and he's typically produced.
  145. Bishop Sankey -- While I'd rather have Cobb, and will probably miss out on Sankey, if he's here I'm taking him
  146. Knile Davis -- Davis found ways to contribute even when Charles was healthy, a great handcuff
  147. Brandon Coleman -- Toon's already injured, and with Stills and Graham out of town there are extra targets.
  148. Brandon Oliver -- Is Melvin Gordon the next Trent Richardson?!?! 
  149. Donte Moncrief -- The Colts love to pass, despite only seeing 49 targets in his rookie season there's value here.
  150. Travis Cadet -- The last player on my board? I'm taking a flyer on the Patriot's likely Shane Vereen replacement.

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